Since EntertainmentOdds introduced a points-based system of tv betting recommendations at the start of 2014, the site has made a profit of +439pts to a 1pt level stake

Up & Up

Dec 29, 2016 by

Up & Up

If you have followed the advised investments throughout 2016, it has been another bountiful 12 months for EntertainmentOdds.com.

The site advised Ukraine (25-1) to win Eurovision, Matt Terry (9-4) to win X Factor and Ore Oduba (12-1) to win Strictly, all ante-post. As the three main TV betting markets traded each year, you can’t ask for much more than that.

Eurovision 2016 subscribers enjoyed a +54.75pt profit which equated to an ROI of 30%, with Ukraine’s win, advised at 25-1 ante-post and again at 12-1 during the rehearsal fortnight, and the 1st Ukraine 2nd Australia straight forecast, advised at 40-1, among the trading highlights.

X Factor profit this year (+30pts; ROI 68%) was founded largely on the lucrative Relley C and Gifty bottom 2 and elimination bets – week 3, Relley C advised at 20-1 to be eliminated, and 6-1 to be in the bottom 2; week 4, Gifty advised at 8-1 to be eliminated, and 5-2 to be in the bottom 2.

X Factor’s week 2 buzzword bingo came up trumps when Freddy Parker, performing first, was informed by Louis ‘That song was too big for you’. This set a record as the fastest ever winning tv bet landed, and at the fruitful odds of 10-1.

Strictly profit this year was especially impressive (+56.95pts; ROI 116%) and the show again offered a steady flow of winning elimination investments, the biggest-priced of which was Tameka in the 2nd elimination market at 9-1. Lesley at 7-1 in the 4th elimination market, and Laura at 4-1 in the 6th elimination market, were a couple of other highlights, but it was the pre-lives analysis that nailed down a guaranteed bounty this year with Ore, advised at 12-1 e/w, and Louise Redknapp (Top Female, advised at 100-30) boosting the overall series profit.

The total investment in 2016 was 281.25pts, which yielded a profit of 136.7pts, equating to an ROI of 48.6%. Interestingly, this matches up virtually identically with the 2015 ROI of 49% (total investment 361.5pts, profit +177.2pts). In 2014, the ROI was 25% (total investment 499pts, profit +124.7pts).

Which means since EntertainmentOdds introduced a fully-audited, points-based system of betting recommendations at the start of 2014, the site has now made a profit of +439pts to a 1pt level stake.

So if you staked £10 per point on every advised investment over the last 3 years you would be in profit to the tune of +£4,390.

Hopefully you have enjoyed the coverage here of all the big tv betting events in 2016, it aided your trading and helped you earn a decent profit this year. A full breakdown of Strictly/XF/SPOTY investments can be seen below, along with ESC 2016 and full annual figures.

Site coverage will return in the new year with all roads leading to Kiev in May and the Eurovision Song Contest 2017. A subscription service will be offered once more.

I’d like to wish all readers a very happy and prosperous new year and in the meantime I will leave you with my highlight of the tv betting year – the amazingly dramatic, tense and exciting scoring sequence at ESC 2016 with Ukraine coming out on top:

2016 Strictly/XF/SPOTY betting portfolio:

Strictly – advised pre-lives:
Ore Oduba – 2pt e/w (a fifth the odds) – 12-1 – Ladbrokes, Coral = +28.8pts
Danny Mac – 2pt e/w (a fifth the odds) – 10-1 – Skybet = +2pts
Greg Rutherford – 1pt e/w (a fifth the odds) – 25-1 – Ladbrokes = -2pts
Louise Redknapp – Top Female – 4pt win – 100-30 – Stan James (3-1 with bet365, William Hill) = +12pts

X Factor – advised pre-lives:
Outright – Matt Terry – 4pt win – 9-4 – Paddy Power, Betfred, Skybet = +9pts
Ryan Lawrie – 1pt e/w (a quarter the odds) – 16-1 – bet365 = -2pts
Top Girl – Samantha Lavery – 2pt win – 3-1 – William Hill, Ladbrokes = -2pts
Top Overs – Honey G – 4pt win – 15-8 – William Hill = -4pts

Strictly week 2 (2nd elimination week):
Next elimination – Naga Munchetty – 9-2 – William Hill – 2pt win = -2pts
Tameka Empson – 9-1 – William Hill, Coral – 1pt win = +9pts
Ed Balls – 2nd elimination – 4-1 – 1pt win – Ladbrokes = -1pt
Outright – Greg Rutherford – 14-1 – 1pt e/w – Betstars = -2pts

XF week 1:
Saara Alto – bottom 2 – 2-1 – 2pt win – Ladbrokes = +4pts

XF pre-week 2:
Outright – 4 Of Diamonds – 9-1 – 1pt e/w – bet365, Coral = -2pts

Strictly 3rd elimination week:
3rd elimination – Anastacia – 3pt win – 9-4 – Stan James = -3pts
Outright – Claudia – 2pt win – 6-1 – Ladbrokes = -2pts

XF week 2:
Gifty – to finish bottom 2 – 1pt win – 14-1 – Ladbrokes, William Hill = -1pt
Buzzword bingo – ‘That song was too big for you’ – 1pt win – 10-1 – Ladbrokes = +10pts

Strictly 4th elimination week:
Laura – 4th elimination – 14-1 – 1pt win – Paddy Power, Coral, Boylesports – NR = 0pts
Lesley – 4th elimination – 7-1 – 1pt win – Coral, BetVictor = +7pts

XF week 3:
Gifty – bottom 2 – 5-1 – 1pt win – William Hill, Ladbrokes = -1pt
Gifty – 3rd elimination – 22-1 – 1pt win – bet365 = -1pt
4 Of Diamonds – 3rd elimination – 9-1 – 1pt win – SportingBet = -1pt
Relley – bottom 2 – 6-1 – 1pt win – William Hill = +6pts
Relley – next elimination – 20-1 – 1pt win – Paddy Power = +20pts

XF week 4:
Gifty – to be in the bottom 2 – 5-2 – 2pt win – Ladbrokes = +5pts
Gifty – next elimination – 8-1 – 1pt win – Boylesports, Bet Victor = +8pts

Strictly 5th elimination week:
Greg – Outright – 25-1 – 1pt e/w (fifth the odds, first 3 places) – Ladbrokes, SportingBet = -2pts
5th elimination – Laura – 7-1 – 1pt win – Ladbrokes = -1pt
5th elimination – Anastacia – 2-1 – 1pt win – Ladbrokes = +2pts

X Factor pre-week 5:
Outright – Emily – 2pt win – 100-30 – Coral, William Hill = -2pts

Strictly 6th elimination week:
6th elimination – Laura – 2pt win – 4-1 – Stan James (3-1 with b365) = +8pts
Judge Rinder – 1pt win – 10-1 – Skybet, Stan James = -1pt

Outright – Louise – 1pt e/w – 7-1 (e/w a fifth the odds, first 3 places) – Ladbrokes = +0.4pts

XF week 5:
5 After Midnight – bottom 2 – 5-1 – 2pt win – Ladbrokes = -2pt
5 After Midnight – 5th elimination – 16-1 – 1pt win – Ladbrokes, William Hill = -1pt

Strictly 7th elimination week:
Judge Rinder – 7th elimination – 6-1 – 2pt win – Coral, Skybet = -2pts
Daisy Lowe – 7th elimination – 13-8 – 2pt win – Coral = +3.25pts

X Factor pre-week 7:
Matt Terry – Christmas No1 – 3-1 – 2pt win – Ladbrokes = -2pts
Emily Middlemass – Christmas No1 – 16-1 – 0.5pt win – Ladbrokes = -0.5pts

Strictly 8th elimination week:
Judge Rinder – 8th elimination – 2pt win – 5-2 – Ladbrokes = -2pts

X Factor week 7:
Honey G – next elimination – 1pt win – 10-1 – Betfred = -1pt

X Factor week 8:
First mentor to lose all acts – Sharon – 7-4 – 2pt win – Coral = -2pts
Without Matt Terry – Emily – 9-4 – 2pt win – Coral, William Hill = -2pts
Saara – to be in the bottom 2 – 8-11 – 5.5pt win – William Hill = -5.5pts

SPOTY 2016:
Gareth Bale – top 3 finish – 5-2 – 2pt win – William Hill, Paddy Power = -2pts
Jamie Vardy – without Murray – 16-1 – 1pt e/w (3 places, a fifth the odds) – Coral = -2pts
Team of the Year – Any British Olympic or Paralympic Team – 7-2 – 1pt win – William Hill = -1pt

Strictly semi-final:
Louise to be eliminated – 16-1 – 2pt win – Paddy Power, bet365 = -2pts
Louise & Claudia dance-off – 4-1 – 2pt win – Ladbrokes = -2pts
semi-final combined lowest scorer – Claudia – 2pt win – 6-4 – Ladbrokes = (dead-heat winner) +0.5pts
semi-final combined highest scorer – Ore – 1pt win – 8-1 – Ladbrokes = +8pts

Strictly 2016 total investment = 49pts
profit/loss = +56.95pts
ROI = +116%

X Factor 2016 total investment = 44pts
profit/loss = +30pts
ROI = +68%

SPOTY 2016 total investment = 5pts
profit/loss = -5pts
ROI = -100%

Total Strictly/XF/SPOTY 2016 investment: 98pts
profit/loss: +81.95pts
ROI: +83.6%

SUBSCRIBED:
ESC 2016 total investment = 183.25pts
profit/loss = +54.75pts
ROI = +30%

2016 total investment = 281.25pts
Total profit/loss = +136.7pts
Total ROI = +48.6%

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4 Comments

  1. James

    Hi Rob. Congratulations on your commendable tipping recommendations throughout 2016. This was especially impressive given the reduced number of Eurovision and Strictly markets that were on offer, and the virtually non-existent value in the Eurovision qualification markets.

    I was personally sceptical on how well Jamala and Louise Redknapp would do on the public vote, so I am pleased that I followed your judgement!

  2. Thanks for all the great coverage again Rob – really enjoyed it.

    All the best for 2017.

    Paul

  3. Montell

    Thank you Rob for showing how to analyze TV shows and bet on it. This has become my new favorite hobby. Eurovision is now the most anticipated event of the year for me. I even started to bet on X factor last year because I saw that my Eurovision knowledge can also be applied there. This is so much fun!

  4. Rob

    Thanks guys. Very happy with the profitability of my analysis over the last 3 years & it confirms the value approach pays off. But as you all know you can never rest on your laurels investing in the tv betting markets, and Eurovision, in particular, is always evolving. The profit you earn from trading is always hard won.

    I was looking back on my initial ESC 2016 pre-rehearsals analysis. Reminds me that first impressions are very important and to try and resist the ‘bubble’ that builds up when you are in the press centre watching rehearsals.

    Will be very happy if my ESC 2017 analysis is anywhere near as accurate as this: http://www.entertainmentodds.com/eurovision-song-contest/does-anyone-know-serhat/

    Happy new year to all 🙂